Montevideo Wanderers vs Centro Atletico Fenix Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Montevideo Wanderers v Centro Atletico Fenix — Team-Based Signals
Montevideo Wanderers vs Centro Atletico Fenix Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-0
Montevideo Wanderers
URU
0-3
HT 0-0
Centro Atletico Fenix
URU
2-1
HT 0-0
Centro Atletico Fenix
URU
1-0
HT 1-0
Montevideo Wanderers
URU
Montevideo Wanderers 1-2 Centro Atletico Fenix — Actual Match Statistics
Centro Atletico Fenix squeezed past Montevideo Wanderers 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Montevideo Wanderers at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Montevideo Wanderers had 48% of the ball to Centro Atletico Fenix's 52%, shots finished 11-13.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Centro Atletico Fenix led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Montevideo Wanderers and 1.67 for Centro Atletico Fenix.
What was the final score of Montevideo Wanderers vs Centro Atletico Fenix?
Montevideo Wanderers 1-2 Centro Atletico Fenix in the Uruguay - Premier League on 21/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Montevideo Wanderers vs Centro Atletico Fenix?
Before kick-off our model rated a Montevideo Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Montevideo Wanderers 41%, draw 26%, Centro Atletico Fenix 33%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.