Arsenal U19 3-4 Atletico Madrid U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA - Youth League, 21 Oct 2025

📅21/10/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
2.8
Draw
21%
3.54
Away
52%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.15
Over 2.5
52%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.56
No
44%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
15%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
30%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
32%
-4.7pp
21%
Draw
25%
-3.5pp
51%
Away Win
43%
+8.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
43%
+5.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
57%
-5.2pp
56%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.1pp
44%
BTTS No
40%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arsenal U19 EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Madrid U19 EU Bookmakers 48%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -24% / -24%
1.13/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.10/0.60
-29% / +97% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -95% / +142%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
324 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.0
Crosses 20.0
4.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arsenal U19
3-4
AWAY Atletico Madrid U19
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 22
8 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 9
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Arsenal U19 vs Atletico Madrid U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Madrid U19 squeezed past Arsenal U19 4-3 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Atletico Madrid U19 as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Arsenal U19 had 43% of the ball to Atletico Madrid U19's 57%, shots finished 12-22.

What was the final score of Arsenal U19 vs Atletico Madrid U19?

Arsenal U19 3-4 Atletico Madrid U19 in the UEFA - Youth League on 21/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arsenal U19 vs Atletico Madrid U19?

Before kick-off our model rated an Atletico Madrid U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Arsenal U19 27%, draw 21%, Atletico Madrid U19 51%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Madrid U19), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Atletico Madrid U19) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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