Villarreal U19 2-1 Manchester City U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA - Youth League, 21 Oct 2025

📅21/10/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
4.04
Draw
16%
4.08
Away
57%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.63
Over 2.5
62%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.49
No
42%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
5.76
2-3 Goals
30%
2.03
4-5 Goals
27%
2.46
6+ Goals
19%
5.28
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
18%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
31%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
21%
+5.4pp
16%
Draw
21%
-5.2pp
57%
Away Win
57%
-0.2pp
38%
Under 2.5
34%
+3.7pp
62%
Over 2.5
66%
-3.7pp
58%
BTTS Yes
63%
-5.4pp
42%
BTTS No
37%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Villarreal U19 EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Manchester City U19 EU Bookmakers 62%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +49% / -39%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
288 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 448 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.2
Crosses 9.3
Yellow Cards 1.4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Villarreal U19
2-1
AWAY Manchester City U19
0.48 xG 2.66
40% Ball Possession 60%
5 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 9
246 Passes 410
77% Pass Accuracy 87%
10 Crosses 25
5 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Villarreal U19 vs Manchester City U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Villarreal U19 nicked a narrow win over Manchester City U19 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

This one beat our numbers. Manchester City U19 carried 57% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Villarreal U19 had 40% of the ball to Manchester City U19's 60%, shots finished 5-16, expected goals 0.48 to 2.66 — on chances, Manchester City U19 could feel hard done by.

What was the final score of Villarreal U19 vs Manchester City U19?

Villarreal U19 2-1 Manchester City U19 in the UEFA - Youth League on 21/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Villarreal U19 vs Manchester City U19?

Before kick-off our model rated an Manchester City U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Villarreal U19 27%, draw 16%, Manchester City U19 57%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Manchester City U19) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Manchester City U19) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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