Union Saint-Gilloise U19 1-2 Inter U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA - Youth League, 21 Oct 2025

📅21/10/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
4.13
Draw
19%
4.08
Away
50%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.38
Over 2.5
56%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.61
No
45%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.71
2-3 Goals
38%
1.9
4-5 Goals
26%
2.65
6+ Goals
13%
6.82
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
6%
2/1
7%
2/2
28%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
21%
+10.1pp
19%
Draw
21%
-2.1pp
50%
Away Win
58%
-8.0pp
44%
Under 2.5
38%
+6.4pp
56%
Over 2.5
62%
-6.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.4pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union Saint-Gilloise U19 EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Inter U19 EU Bookmakers 62%
+73% / +73% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.46/2.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.41/1.39
+64% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +12%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
342 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 409 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
9.0 Crosses 20.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union Saint-Gilloise U19
1-2
AWAY Inter U19
1.08 xG 2.31
29% Ball Possession 71%
11 Total Shots 22
3 Shots on Target 10
3 Corners 12
130 Passes 458
56% Pass Accuracy 82%
8 Crosses 34
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Union Saint-Gilloise U19 vs Inter U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Inter U19 edged past Union Saint-Gilloise U19 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Inter U19 as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Union Saint-Gilloise U19 had 29% of the ball to Inter U19's 71%, shots finished 11-22, expected goals 1.08 to 2.31 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Inter U19's control.

What was the final score of Union Saint-Gilloise U19 vs Inter U19?

Union Saint-Gilloise U19 1-2 Inter U19 in the UEFA - Youth League on 21/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union Saint-Gilloise U19 vs Inter U19?

Before kick-off our model rated an Inter U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Union Saint-Gilloise U19 31%, draw 19%, Inter U19 50%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Inter U19), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Inter U19) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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