Newcastle United U19 1-5 Benfica U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA - Youth League, 21 Oct 2025

📅21/10/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
5.4
Draw
17%
4.81
Away
56%
1.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
2.98
Over 2.5
65%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.53
No
42%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
31%
4-5 Goals
37%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
7%
X/2
35%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
15%
+12.1pp
17%
Draw
18%
-0.9pp
56%
Away Win
67%
-11.3pp
35%
Under 2.5
30%
+5.1pp
65%
Over 2.5
70%
-5.1pp
58%
BTTS Yes
61%
-2.9pp
42%
BTTS No
39%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Newcastle United U19 EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Benfica U19 EU Bookmakers 72%
+28% / +28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.55/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.33/1.50
+18% / +102% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -32%
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
224 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
Crosses 18.0
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.7
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Newcastle United U19
1-5
AWAY Benfica U19
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 21
5 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Newcastle United U19 vs Benfica U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Benfica U19 swept aside Newcastle United U19 5-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Benfica U19 as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Newcastle United U19 had 47% of the ball to Benfica U19's 53%, shots finished 13-21.

What was the final score of Newcastle United U19 vs Benfica U19?

Newcastle United U19 1-5 Benfica U19 in the UEFA - Youth League on 21/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Newcastle United U19 vs Benfica U19?

Before kick-off our model rated an Benfica U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Newcastle United U19 27%, draw 17%, Benfica U19 56%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Benfica U19), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Benfica U19) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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