Guanacasteca 2-1 Puntarenas FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 21 Nov 2024

📅21/11/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.86
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
22%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.9
Over 2.5
42%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.75
No
52%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
50%
-3.2pp
31%
Draw
26%
+4.5pp
22%
Away Win
24%
-1.3pp
58%
Under 2.5
49%
+8.8pp
42%
Over 2.5
51%
-8.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.5pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guanacasteca EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Puntarenas FC EU Bookmakers 27%
+14% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -15%
1.77/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.19
+6% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +25%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
321 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guanacasteca
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Puntarenas FC
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
19.09.2024 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca KOSTA
05.09.2024 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC 2-1 HT 0-1 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca KOSTK
08.04.2024 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca 3-0 HT 1-0 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC KOSTA
29.01.2024 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC 3-2 HT 1-1 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca KOSTA
29.10.2023 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC 1-2 HT 0-0 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca KOSTA
28.08.2023 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca 3-2 HT 1-2 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC KOSTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Guanacasteca
2-1
AWAY Puntarenas FC
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Guanacasteca vs Puntarenas FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guanacasteca squeezed past Puntarenas FC 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Guanacasteca as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Guanacasteca had 48% of the ball to Puntarenas FC's 52%, shots finished 7-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Guanacasteca had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Guanacasteca and 1.33 for Puntarenas FC.

What was the final score of Guanacasteca vs Puntarenas FC?

Guanacasteca 2-1 Puntarenas FC in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 21/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guanacasteca vs Puntarenas FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Guanacasteca win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Guanacasteca 47%, draw 31%, Puntarenas FC 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Guanacasteca) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Guanacasteca) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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