Managua 0-1 Real Esteli — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 21 Nov 2024

📅21/11/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.67
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
41%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.21
Over 2.5
58%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.53
No
46%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
23%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
34%
+2.2pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.9pp
41%
Away Win
41%
-0.3pp
42%
Under 2.5
41%
+0.4pp
58%
Over 2.5
59%
-0.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
61%
-7.1pp
46%
BTTS No
39%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Managua EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Esteli EU Bookmakers 45%
-8% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -4%
1.30/1.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.25
-8% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +6%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
303 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 426 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Managua
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Real Esteli
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
36% Ball Possession 64%
9 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.09.2024 Real Esteli Real Esteli 4-0 HT 2-0 Managua Managua NİK
15.08.2024 Real Esteli Real Esteli 3-0 HT 2-0 Managua Managua CONOAK
04.03.2024 Managua Managua 2-2 HT 1-2 Real Esteli Real Esteli NİK
15.12.2023 Real Esteli Real Esteli 0-0 HT 0-0 Managua Managua NİK
09.11.2023 Managua Managua 0-3 HT 0-1 Real Esteli Real Esteli NİK
03.09.2023 Real Esteli Real Esteli 0-2 HT 0-0 Managua Managua NİK
POST-MATCH Managua vs Real Esteli
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Esteli squeezed past Managua 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 23% / 41% — and on the day Real Esteli made the difference. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Esteli led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Managua and 2.00 for Real Esteli.

What was the final score of Managua vs Real Esteli?

Managua 0-1 Real Esteli in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 21/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Managua vs Real Esteli?

Before kick-off our model rated an Real Esteli win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Managua 36%, draw 23%, Real Esteli 41%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Esteli) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Real Esteli) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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