Lokomotive Leipzig 3-0 Greifswalder SV — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 21 Nov 2025

📅21/11/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.64
Draw
21%
3.8
Away
14%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.07
Over 2.5
50%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.73
No
55%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
23%
X/2
4%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
56%
+8.2pp
21%
Draw
23%
-2.0pp
15%
Away Win
21%
-6.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
54%
-8.4pp
55%
BTTS No
46%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lokomotive Leipzig EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Greifswalder SV EU Bookmakers 24%
+7% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -6%
1.52/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.69
-23% / +67% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +10%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
315 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lokomotive Leipzig
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Greifswalder SV
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
25.04.2025 Lokomotive Leipzig Lokomotive Leipzig 0-0 HT 0-0 Greifswalder SV Greifswalder SV ALMBÖL
03.11.2024 Greifswalder SV Greifswalder SV 1-1 HT 0-0 Lokomotive Leipzig Lokomotive Leipzig ALMBÖL
18.02.2024 Greifswalder SV Greifswalder SV 4-0 HT 2-0 Lokomotive Leipzig Lokomotive Leipzig ALMBÖL
26.08.2023 Lokomotive Leipzig Lokomotive Leipzig 0-1 HT 0-1 Greifswalder SV Greifswalder SV ALMBÖL
17.02.2023 Lokomotive Leipzig Lokomotive Leipzig 3-1 HT 0-1 Greifswalder SV Greifswalder SV ALMBÖL
28.08.2022 Greifswalder SV Greifswalder SV 3-1 HT 3-1 Lokomotive Leipzig Lokomotive Leipzig ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Lokomotive Leipzig vs Greifswalder SV
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lokomotive Leipzig cruised past Greifswalder SV 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Lokomotive Leipzig as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Greifswalder SV led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Lokomotive Leipzig and 1.67 for Greifswalder SV.

What was the final score of Lokomotive Leipzig vs Greifswalder SV?

Lokomotive Leipzig 3-0 Greifswalder SV in the Germany - Regional League on 21/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lokomotive Leipzig vs Greifswalder SV?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lokomotive Leipzig win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Lokomotive Leipzig 65%, draw 21%, Greifswalder SV 15%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lokomotive Leipzig), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lokomotive Leipzig) ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ALMBÖL More Germany - Regional League
21 Nov 2025
21:00 Buchbach vs Bayern München II Analysis →
21:00 Eintracht Trier vs Steinbach Analysis →
21:00 FSV Frankfurt vs Sandhausen Analysis →
21:00 Eilenburg vs Chemie Leipzig Analysis →
21:30 Hannover 96 II vs BW Lohne Analysis →
22:20 Carl Zeiss Jena vs Hallescher FC Analysis →