Eilenburg 0-1 Chemie Leipzig — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 21 Nov 2025

📅21/11/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.46
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
33%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.75
Over 2.5
39%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.82
No
50%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
14%
X/X
22%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
37%
-0.5pp
31%
Draw
27%
+3.9pp
33%
Away Win
36%
-3.4pp
61%
Under 2.5
53%
+7.9pp
39%
Over 2.5
47%
-7.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.1pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eilenburg EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Chemie Leipzig EU Bookmakers 39%
-10% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / -1%
1.23/1.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.57
-17% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -6%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
322 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.4 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eilenburg
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Chemie Leipzig
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.04.2025 Eilenburg Eilenburg 0-0 HT 0-0 Chemie Leipzig Chemie Leipzig ALMBÖL
18.10.2024 Chemie Leipzig Chemie Leipzig 2-1 Eilenburg Eilenburg ALMBÖL
06.04.2024 Eilenburg Eilenburg 1-3 HT 0-1 Chemie Leipzig Chemie Leipzig ALMBÖL
22.10.2023 Chemie Leipzig Chemie Leipzig 1-0 HT 0-0 Eilenburg Eilenburg ALMBÖL
04.12.2021 Chemie Leipzig Chemie Leipzig 2-1 HT 1-0 Eilenburg Eilenburg ALMBÖL
25.07.2021 Eilenburg Eilenburg 1-1 HT 1-0 Chemie Leipzig Chemie Leipzig ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Eilenburg vs Chemie Leipzig
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chemie Leipzig edged past Eilenburg 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 31% / 33%) promised a tight game; Chemie Leipzig found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chemie Leipzig led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Eilenburg and 1.50 for Chemie Leipzig.

What was the final score of Eilenburg vs Chemie Leipzig?

Eilenburg 0-1 Chemie Leipzig in the Germany - Regional League on 21/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eilenburg vs Chemie Leipzig?

Before kick-off our model rated a Eilenburg win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Eilenburg 37%, draw 31%, Chemie Leipzig 33%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Eilenburg) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Eilenburg) ✓ Under 2.5
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