Chemie Leipzig 2-1 Eilenburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 18 Oct 2024

📅18/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.72
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
26%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
2.0
Over 2.5
42%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.73
No
52%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
54%
-7.5pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.3pp
26%
Away Win
22%
+4.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
46%
+11.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
54%
-11.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
54%
-6.0pp
52%
BTTS No
46%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chemie Leipzig EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Eilenburg EU Bookmakers 25%
+5% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -4%
1.77/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.85
-10% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +0%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
392 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chemie Leipzig
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Eilenburg
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.04.2024 Eilenburg Eilenburg 1-3 HT 0-1 Chemie Leipzig Chemie Leipzig ALMBÖL
22.10.2023 Chemie Leipzig Chemie Leipzig 1-0 HT 0-0 Eilenburg Eilenburg ALMBÖL
04.12.2021 Chemie Leipzig Chemie Leipzig 2-1 HT 1-0 Eilenburg Eilenburg ALMBÖL
25.07.2021 Eilenburg Eilenburg 1-1 HT 1-0 Chemie Leipzig Chemie Leipzig ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Chemie Leipzig vs Eilenburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chemie Leipzig squeezed past Eilenburg 2-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Chemie Leipzig as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Chemie Leipzig had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Chemie Leipzig and 0.75 for Eilenburg.

What was the final score of Chemie Leipzig vs Eilenburg?

Chemie Leipzig 2-1 Eilenburg in the Germany - Regional League on 18/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chemie Leipzig vs Eilenburg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chemie Leipzig win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Chemie Leipzig 47%, draw 27%, Eilenburg 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chemie Leipzig) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Chemie Leipzig) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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