Bayreuth 1-0 Wacker Burghausen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 18 Oct 2024

📅18/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.75
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
32%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.0
Over 2.5
50%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.7
No
43%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
53%
-11.9pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.9pp
32%
Away Win
23%
+9.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
46%
+3.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
54%
-3.8pp
57%
BTTS Yes
55%
+1.8pp
43%
BTTS No
45%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bayreuth EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Wacker Burghausen EU Bookmakers 26%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -9%
1.75/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.51
-12% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +13%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
399 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 409 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bayreuth
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Wacker Burghausen
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 12
11 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 3
19.04.2024 Wacker Burghausen Wacker Burghausen 1-1 HT 0-0 Bayreuth Bayreuth ALMBÖL
03.10.2023 Bayreuth Bayreuth 1-1 HT 1-0 Wacker Burghausen Wacker Burghausen ALMBÖL
19.11.2021 Wacker Burghausen Wacker Burghausen 0-1 HT 0-0 Bayreuth Bayreuth ALMBÖL
30.07.2021 Bayreuth Bayreuth 2-3 HT 0-2 Wacker Burghausen Wacker Burghausen ALMBÖL
28.09.2019 Bayreuth Bayreuth 0-0 HT 0-0 Wacker Burghausen Wacker Burghausen ALMBÖL
31.10.2014 Wacker Burghausen Wacker Burghausen 1-3 HT 1-1 Bayreuth Bayreuth ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Bayreuth vs Wacker Burghausen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bayreuth nicked a narrow win over Wacker Burghausen 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Bayreuth as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bayreuth had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Bayreuth and 1.00 for Wacker Burghausen.

What was the final score of Bayreuth vs Wacker Burghausen?

Bayreuth 1-0 Wacker Burghausen in the Germany - Regional League on 18/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bayreuth vs Wacker Burghausen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bayreuth win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Bayreuth 41%, draw 27%, Wacker Burghausen 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bayreuth) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bayreuth) ✗ BTTS Yes
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