Würzburger Kickers 1-0 Schweinfurt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 18 Oct 2024

📅18/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.82
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
31%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.15
Over 2.5
51%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.61
No
50%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
51%
-6.0pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.5pp
31%
Away Win
24%
+6.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
43%
+6.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
57%
-6.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.3pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Würzburger Kickers EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Schweinfurt EU Bookmakers 28%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.41/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.42/2.89
-21% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -5%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
282 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.0 Crosses 8.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Würzburger Kickers
5W-0D-0L
AWAY Schweinfurt
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 4
19.04.2024 Würzburger Kickers Würzburger Kickers 3-0 HT 2-0 Schweinfurt Schweinfurt ALMBÖL
03.10.2023 Schweinfurt Schweinfurt 0-2 HT 0-1 Würzburger Kickers Würzburger Kickers ALMBÖL
25.03.2023 Würzburger Kickers Würzburger Kickers 3-1 HT 1-1 Schweinfurt Schweinfurt ALMBÖL
02.09.2022 Schweinfurt Schweinfurt 2-5 HT 0-2 Würzburger Kickers Würzburger Kickers ALMBÖL
24.03.2015 Würzburger Kickers Würzburger Kickers 2-0 HT 2-0 Schweinfurt Schweinfurt ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Würzburger Kickers vs Schweinfurt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Würzburger Kickers nicked a narrow win over Schweinfurt 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Würzburger Kickers as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Würzburger Kickers had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Würzburger Kickers and 0.60 for Schweinfurt.

What was the final score of Würzburger Kickers vs Schweinfurt?

Würzburger Kickers 1-0 Schweinfurt in the Germany - Regional League on 18/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Würzburger Kickers vs Schweinfurt?

Before kick-off our model rated a Würzburger Kickers win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Würzburger Kickers 45%, draw 24%, Schweinfurt 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Würzburger Kickers) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Würzburger Kickers) ✗ Over 2.5
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