Freiburg II 4-2 Eintracht Trier — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 18 Oct 2024

📅18/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.0
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
27%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.1
Over 2.5
53%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.6
No
47%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-2.3pp
30%
Draw
25%
+4.6pp
27%
Away Win
29%
-2.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.7pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.3pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Freiburg II EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Eintracht Trier EU Bookmakers 32%
+17% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -15%
2.38/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/2.02
+40% / +94% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -22%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
401 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Freiburg II
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Eintracht Trier
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
17.10.2015 Freiburg II Freiburg II 2-5 HT 2-1 Eintracht Trier Eintracht Trier ALMBÖL
28.02.2015 Freiburg II Freiburg II 0-0 HT 0-0 Eintracht Trier Eintracht Trier ALMBÖL
17.09.2014 Eintracht Trier Eintracht Trier 0-3 HT 0-2 Freiburg II Freiburg II ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Freiburg II vs Eintracht Trier
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Freiburg II got the better of Eintracht Trier 4-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Freiburg II as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Freiburg II and 1.67 for Eintracht Trier.

What was the final score of Freiburg II vs Eintracht Trier?

Freiburg II 4-2 Eintracht Trier in the Germany - Regional League on 18/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Freiburg II vs Eintracht Trier?

Before kick-off our model rated a Freiburg II win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Freiburg II 44%, draw 30%, Eintracht Trier 27%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Freiburg II), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Freiburg II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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