Eilenburg 1-3 Chemie Leipzig — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 6 Apr 2024

📅06/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.99
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
46%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.91
Over 2.5
53%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.7
No
53%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
20%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
22%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
29%
+2.1pp
22%
Draw
26%
-3.4pp
46%
Away Win
45%
+1.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-1.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+1.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
55%
-7.8pp
53%
BTTS No
45%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eilenburg EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Chemie Leipzig EU Bookmakers 49%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +25%
1.65/2.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/0.38
+20% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +150%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
258 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 440 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eilenburg
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Chemie Leipzig
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 1
22.10.2023 Chemie Leipzig Chemie Leipzig 1-0 HT 0-0 Eilenburg Eilenburg ALMBÖL
04.12.2021 Chemie Leipzig Chemie Leipzig 2-1 HT 1-0 Eilenburg Eilenburg ALMBÖL
25.07.2021 Eilenburg Eilenburg 1-1 HT 1-0 Chemie Leipzig Chemie Leipzig ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eilenburg
1-3
AWAY Chemie Leipzig
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Eilenburg vs Chemie Leipzig
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chemie Leipzig beat Eilenburg 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Chemie Leipzig as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Eilenburg had 49% of the ball to Chemie Leipzig's 51%, shots finished 11-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Chemie Leipzig led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Eilenburg and 1.33 for Chemie Leipzig.

What was the final score of Eilenburg vs Chemie Leipzig?

Eilenburg 1-3 Chemie Leipzig in the Germany - Regional League on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eilenburg vs Chemie Leipzig?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chemie Leipzig win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Eilenburg 31%, draw 22%, Chemie Leipzig 46%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chemie Leipzig), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Chemie Leipzig) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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