Al Hilal Omdurman 2-1 MC Alger — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CAF Champions League, 21 Nov 2025

📅21/11/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
3.08
Draw
32%
2.77
Away
31%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.36
Over 2.5
39%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.33
No
59%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
1.83
2-3 Goals
41%
1.84
4-5 Goals
11%
6.96
6+ Goals
6%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
5.36
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
5%
15.75
X/1
10%
6.18
X/2
9%
4.89
X/X
23%
3.16
2/1
7%
35.0
2/2
17%
3.78
2/X
5%
15.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
30%
+7.7pp
32%
Draw
33%
-1.1pp
31%
Away Win
37%
-6.7pp
61%
Under 2.5
70%
-8.7pp
39%
Over 2.5
30%
+8.7pp
41%
BTTS Yes
39%
+2.3pp
59%
BTTS No
61%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Hilal Omdurman EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY MC Alger EU Bookmakers 40%
-30% / -30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -25% / -25%
0.50/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.59/1.00
-35% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -43% / -30%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
330 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 73%
11.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
9.5 Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Hilal Omdurman
1W-1D-0L
AWAY MC Alger
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.67 xG 0.98
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
302 Passes 394
76% Pass Accuracy 81%
8 Box Touches 18
8 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.01.2025 Al Hilal Omdurman Al Hilal Omdurman 1-1 HT 0-1 MC Alger MC Alger CAFŞL
14.12.2024 MC Alger MC Alger 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Hilal Omdurman Al Hilal Omdurman CAFŞL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Hilal Omdurman
2-1
AWAY MC Alger
1.09 xG 0.21
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 0
3 Corners 6
196 Passes 184
76% Pass Accuracy 72%
11 Box Touches 14
16 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Al Hilal Omdurman vs MC Alger
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Hilal Omdurman squeezed past MC Alger 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 32% / 31% — and on the day Al Hilal Omdurman made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Hilal Omdurman had 50% of the ball to MC Alger's 50%, shots finished 8-6, expected goals 1.09 to 0.21.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Al Hilal Omdurman had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Al Hilal Omdurman and 0.50 for MC Alger.

What was the final score of Al Hilal Omdurman vs MC Alger?

Al Hilal Omdurman 2-1 MC Alger in the CAF Champions League on 21/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Hilal Omdurman vs MC Alger?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Hilal Omdurman win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Al Hilal Omdurman 37%, draw 32%, MC Alger 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Hilal Omdurman) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Hilal Omdurman) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →