Caen 1-0 Bourg en Bresse 01 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 21 Nov 2025

📅21/11/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
19%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.71
Over 2.5
41%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.99
No
56%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
35%
2.7
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
18%
4.0
6+ Goals
8%
19.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.7 — our 35% vs market 30.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
2.32
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
7%
15.2
X/1
18%
4.12
X/2
6%
9.25
X/X
10%
4.62
2/1
8%
26.0
2/2
9%
7.94
2/X
8%
16.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
54%
+2.1pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.2pp
19%
Away Win
20%
-1.0pp
59%
Under 2.5
55%
+4.8pp
41%
Over 2.5
45%
-4.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
46%
-1.9pp
56%
BTTS No
54%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Caen EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Bourg en Bresse 01 EU Bookmakers 23%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.62/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.14
-1% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +27%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
339 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
POST-MATCH Caen vs Bourg en Bresse 01
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Caen squeezed past Bourg en Bresse 01 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Caen as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Caen vs Bourg en Bresse 01?

Caen 1-0 Bourg en Bresse 01 in the France - National League 1 on 21/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Caen vs Bourg en Bresse 01?

Before kick-off our model rated a Caen win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Caen 56%, draw 25%, Bourg en Bresse 01 19%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Caen), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Caen) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FR3 More France - National League 1
21 Nov 2025
21:30 Rouen vs Concarneau Analysis →
21:30 Paris 13 Atletico vs Villefranche Analysis →
21:30 Valenciennes vs FC Fleury 91 Analysis →
21:30 Sochaux vs Dijon Analysis →
21:30 Le Puy vs Quevilly Analysis →
21:30 Chateauroux vs Versailles Analysis →