Paris 13 Atletico 1-0 Villefranche — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 21 Nov 2025

📅21/11/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.02
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
27%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.6
Over 2.5
43%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.96
No
47%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.43
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
4.49
6+ Goals
8%
24.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.95
1/2
8%
35.0
1/X
7%
14.1
X/1
17%
4.58
X/2
9%
7.23
X/X
10%
4.03
2/1
8%
29.5
2/2
10%
5.93
2/X EV+ ✗
12%
15.0
Value flag · 2/X at 15.0 — our 12% vs market 4.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-1.4pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.5pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+0.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
47%
+6.3pp
47%
BTTS No
53%
-6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paris 13 Atletico EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Villefranche EU Bookmakers 29%
+4% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -1%
1.34/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.19
-4% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +11%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
275 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paris 13 Atletico
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Villefranche
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
7 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
31.01.2025 Paris 13 Atletico Paris 13 Atletico 1-0 HT 1-0 Villefranche Villefranche FR3
30.08.2024 Villefranche Villefranche 1-1 HT 1-1 Paris 13 Atletico Paris 13 Atletico FR3
03.02.2023 Paris 13 Atletico Paris 13 Atletico 1-1 HT 1-1 Villefranche Villefranche FR3
26.08.2022 Villefranche Villefranche 2-0 HT 0-0 Paris 13 Atletico Paris 13 Atletico FR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paris 13 Atletico
1-0
AWAY Villefranche
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 0
1 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Paris 13 Atletico vs Villefranche
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paris 13 Atletico squeezed past Villefranche 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Paris 13 Atletico as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Paris 13 Atletico had 50% of the ball to Villefranche's 50%, shots finished 13-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Paris 13 Atletico and 1.00 for Villefranche.

What was the final score of Paris 13 Atletico vs Villefranche?

Paris 13 Atletico 1-0 Villefranche in the France - National League 1 on 21/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paris 13 Atletico vs Villefranche?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paris 13 Atletico win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Paris 13 Atletico 44%, draw 29%, Villefranche 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Paris 13 Atletico), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Paris 13 Atletico) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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