Valenciennes 0-2 FC Fleury 91 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 21 Nov 2025

📅21/11/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.18
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.74
Over 2.5
48%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.82
No
49%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
2.8
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
3.86
6+ Goals
9%
17.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.8 — our 30% vs market 28.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.21
1/2
8%
35.0
1/X
8%
13.25
X/1
16%
5.02
X/2
8%
6.63
X/X
8%
4.33
2/1
10%
28.0
2/2
16%
4.94
2/X
8%
13.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
42%
+1.5pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.5pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+2.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
54%
-1.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
46%
+1.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.3pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valenciennes EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Fleury 91 EU Bookmakers 33%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
1.55/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/0.25
+21% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +150%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
321 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 4.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Valenciennes
0-2
AWAY FC Fleury 91
59% Ball Possession 41%
9 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Valenciennes vs FC Fleury 91
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Fleury 91 beat Valenciennes 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Valenciennes at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Valenciennes had 59% of the ball to FC Fleury 91's 41%, shots finished 9-11.

What was the final score of Valenciennes vs FC Fleury 91?

Valenciennes 0-2 FC Fleury 91 in the France - National League 1 on 21/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valenciennes vs FC Fleury 91?

Before kick-off our model rated a Valenciennes win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Valenciennes 44%, draw 25%, FC Fleury 91 32%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Valenciennes), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Valenciennes) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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