Al Duhail SC 2-3 Al Ahli — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Qatar League, 21 Nov 2025

📅21/11/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
73%
1.42
Draw
19%
4.49
Away
8%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.33
Over 2.5
64%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.75
No
43%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
4.69
2-3 Goals
38%
1.91
4-5 Goals
31%
2.7
6+ Goals
12%
7.06
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
24%
X/2
3%
X/X
6%
2/1
7%
2/2
2%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
73%
Home Win
66%
+6.6pp
19%
Draw
19%
+0.2pp
8%
Away Win
14%
-6.8pp
36%
Under 2.5
39%
-3.0pp
64%
Over 2.5
61%
+3.0pp
57%
BTTS Yes
53%
+3.6pp
43%
BTTS No
47%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Duhail SC EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ahli EU Bookmakers 17%
-4% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -7%
2.16/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.75
-4% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +47% / -9%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
369 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 78%
29.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.1
22.4 Crosses 10.7
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Duhail SC
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Al Ahli
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
2.26 xG 1.27
55% Ball Possession 45%
18 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 2
439 Passes 266
87% Pass Accuracy 77%
37 Box Touches 10
30 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 4
08.03.2025 Al Duhail SC Al Duhail SC 4-2 HT 1-2 Al Ahli Al Ahli KAT
19.10.2024 Al Ahli Al Ahli 0-1 Al Duhail SC Al Duhail SC KAT
07.09.2024 Al Ahli Al Ahli 0-2 HT 0-0 Al Duhail SC Al Duhail SC KATYK
21.12.2023 Al Duhail SC Al Duhail SC 3-5 HT 2-3 Al Ahli Al Ahli KAT
18.08.2023 Al Ahli Al Ahli 1-2 HT 0-1 Al Duhail SC Al Duhail SC KAT
04.02.2023 Al Duhail SC Al Duhail SC 2-1 HT 2-0 Al Ahli Al Ahli KAT
POST-MATCH Al Duhail SC vs Al Ahli
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ahli edged past Al Duhail SC 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

This one beat our numbers. Al Duhail SC carried 73% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Duhail SC had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Al Duhail SC and 1.50 for Al Ahli.

What was the final score of Al Duhail SC vs Al Ahli?

Al Duhail SC 2-3 Al Ahli in the Qatar League on 21/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Duhail SC vs Al Ahli?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Duhail SC win the most likely single outcome at about 73%, with the full match-result split Al Duhail SC 73%, draw 19%, Al Ahli 8%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Duhail SC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Duhail SC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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