Al Gharafa vs Al Wakrah Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al Gharafa v Al Wakrah — Team-Based Signals
Al Gharafa vs Al Wakrah Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-1
Al Wakrah
KAT
0-4
HT 0-1
Al Gharafa
KAT
Al Gharafa 1-0 Al Wakrah — Actual Match Statistics
Al Gharafa squeezed past Al Wakrah 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Al Gharafa as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (62%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Al Gharafa had 37% of the ball to Al Wakrah's 63%, shots finished 9-18, expected goals 1.27 to 1.17.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Gharafa had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Al Gharafa and 1.33 for Al Wakrah.
What was the final score of Al Gharafa vs Al Wakrah?
Al Gharafa 1-0 Al Wakrah in the Qatar League on 21/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Al Gharafa vs Al Wakrah?
Before kick-off our model rated a Al Gharafa win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Al Gharafa 44%, draw 25%, Al Wakrah 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Gharafa) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.