Al Wakrah 1-1 Al Gharafa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Qatar League, 11 Apr 2025

📅11/04/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
3.46
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
53%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.38
Over 2.5
55%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.5
No
48%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.92
2-3 Goals
39%
1.94
4-5 Goals
22%
2.64
6+ Goals
14%
6.57
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
11%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
23%
X/X
17%
2/1
4%
2/2
19%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
26%
-3.2pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.9pp
53%
Away Win
51%
+2.3pp
45%
Under 2.5
38%
+6.7pp
55%
Over 2.5
62%
-6.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
62%
-10.0pp
48%
BTTS No
38%
+10.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Wakrah EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Gharafa EU Bookmakers 55%
+2% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +2%
1.29/2.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.67/0.92
-18% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -18%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
290 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 78%
21.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.5
20.0 Crosses 20.8
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Wakrah
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Al Gharafa
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.59 xG 2.18
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
300 Passes 246
76% Pass Accuracy 75%
21 Box Touches 25
20 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.11.2024 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa 3-1 HT 1-1 Al Wakrah Al Wakrah KAT
06.09.2024 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa 0-3 HT 0-1 Al Wakrah Al Wakrah KATYK
24.04.2024 Al Wakrah Al Wakrah 2-4 HT 0-1 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa KAT
02.12.2023 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa 1-1 HT 0-1 Al Wakrah Al Wakrah KAT
04.02.2023 Al Wakrah Al Wakrah 0-4 HT 0-1 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa KAT
10.08.2022 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa 1-1 HT 1-0 Al Wakrah Al Wakrah KAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Wakrah
1-1
AWAY Al Gharafa
0.47 xG 1.53
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 4
348 Passes 341
83% Pass Accuracy 88%
17 Box Touches 20
13 Crosses 22
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Wakrah vs Al Gharafa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Wakrah and Al Gharafa couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Al Gharafa at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Wakrah had 51% of the ball to Al Gharafa's 49%, shots finished 9-15, expected goals 0.47 to 1.53.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Gharafa led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Al Wakrah and 2.17 for Al Gharafa.

What was the final score of Al Wakrah vs Al Gharafa?

Al Wakrah 1-1 Al Gharafa in the Qatar League on 11/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Wakrah vs Al Gharafa?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Gharafa win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Al Wakrah 22%, draw 25%, Al Gharafa 53%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Gharafa), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Gharafa) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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