Al Ahli vs Umm Salal Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al Ahli v Umm Salal — Team-Based Signals
Al Ahli vs Umm Salal Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-3
HT 0-3
Al Ahli
KAT
1-2
HT 1-2
Umm Salal
KAT
2-0
HT 0-0
Al Ahli
KATYK
1-1
HT 1-1
Umm Salal
KATYK
3-1
HT 2-0
Al Ahli
KAT
3-1
HT 2-1
Umm Salal
KAT
Umm Salal nicked a narrow win over Al Ahli 1-0 away from home.
Our pre-match lean was Al Ahli at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Umm Salal led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Al Ahli and 1.50 for Umm Salal.
What was the final score of Al Ahli vs Umm Salal?
Al Ahli 0-1 Umm Salal in the Qatar League on 11/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Al Ahli vs Umm Salal?
Before kick-off our model rated a Al Ahli win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Al Ahli 45%, draw 24%, Umm Salal 32%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.