Al Shamal 3-5 Al Rayyan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Qatar League, 11 Apr 2025

📅11/04/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.57
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
40%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.89
Over 2.5
61%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.38
No
40%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
6.36
2-3 Goals
36%
2.12
4-5 Goals
29%
2.42
6+ Goals
15%
4.81
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
35%
+1.0pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.8pp
40%
Away Win
42%
-1.8pp
39%
Under 2.5
31%
+7.8pp
61%
Over 2.5
69%
-7.8pp
60%
BTTS Yes
68%
-8.8pp
40%
BTTS No
32%
+8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Shamal EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Rayyan EU Bookmakers 46%
-9% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -5%
1.06/1.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.29/1.24
-17% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / -13%
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
297 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 80%
21.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31.9
16.3 Crosses 21.7
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Shamal
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Al Rayyan
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.03 xG 1.84
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
284 Passes 343
77% Pass Accuracy 80%
24 Box Touches 26
14 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 2
22.11.2024 Al Rayyan Al Rayyan 1-2 HT 1-0 Al Shamal Al Shamal KAT
25.02.2024 Al Rayyan Al Rayyan 2-1 HT 0-0 Al Shamal Al Shamal KAT
12.11.2023 Al Shamal Al Shamal 0-2 HT 0-0 Al Rayyan Al Rayyan KATYK
02.09.2023 Al Shamal Al Shamal 3-4 HT 1-2 Al Rayyan Al Rayyan KAT
30.01.2023 Al Shamal Al Shamal 1-2 HT 1-2 Al Rayyan Al Rayyan KAT
03.08.2022 Al Rayyan Al Rayyan 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Shamal Al Shamal KAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Shamal
3-5
AWAY Al Rayyan
3.11 xG 1.45
53% Ball Possession 47%
18 Total Shots 11
10 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
282 Passes 240
78% Pass Accuracy 76%
24 Box Touches 26
23 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Al Shamal vs Al Rayyan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Rayyan beat Al Shamal 5-3 away from home. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 24% / 40% — and on the day Al Rayyan made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

On the day, Al Shamal had 53% of the ball to Al Rayyan's 47%, shots finished 18-11, expected goals 3.11 to 1.45 — the balance of chances actually favoured Al Shamal.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Rayyan led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Al Shamal and 1.83 for Al Rayyan.

What was the final score of Al Shamal vs Al Rayyan?

Al Shamal 3-5 Al Rayyan in the Qatar League on 11/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Shamal vs Al Rayyan?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Rayyan win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Al Shamal 36%, draw 24%, Al Rayyan 40%. The final score 3-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Rayyan), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Rayyan) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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