Al Rayyan 1-2 Al Shamal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Qatar League, 22 Nov 2024

📅22/11/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.64
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
22%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.51
Over 2.5
58%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.5
No
45%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.62
2-3 Goals
37%
2.04
4-5 Goals
25%
2.67
6+ Goals
16%
6.39
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
57%
-2.9pp
24%
Draw
22%
+2.0pp
22%
Away Win
21%
+0.9pp
42%
Under 2.5
36%
+6.3pp
58%
Over 2.5
64%
-6.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
62%
-7.1pp
45%
BTTS No
38%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Rayyan EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Shamal EU Bookmakers 25%
+0% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +10%
1.77/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.65
-19% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +13%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
351 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 79%
29.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.3
20.9 Crosses 13.3
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Rayyan
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Al Shamal
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
2.01 xG 0.99
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
380 Passes 306
79% Pass Accuracy 77%
24 Box Touches 20
10 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 3
25.02.2024 Al Rayyan Al Rayyan 2-1 HT 0-0 Al Shamal Al Shamal KAT
12.11.2023 Al Shamal Al Shamal 0-2 HT 0-0 Al Rayyan Al Rayyan KATYK
02.09.2023 Al Shamal Al Shamal 3-4 HT 1-2 Al Rayyan Al Rayyan KAT
30.01.2023 Al Shamal Al Shamal 1-2 HT 1-2 Al Rayyan Al Rayyan KAT
03.08.2022 Al Rayyan Al Rayyan 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Shamal Al Shamal KAT
11.03.2022 Al Rayyan Al Rayyan 3-2 HT 2-1 Al Shamal Al Shamal KAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Rayyan
1-2
AWAY Al Shamal
1.49 xG 1.12
51% Ball Possession 49%
18 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
316 Passes 292
81% Pass Accuracy 77%
29 Box Touches 31
18 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Al Rayyan vs Al Shamal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Shamal nicked a narrow win over Al Rayyan 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Al Rayyan at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Al Rayyan had 51% of the ball to Al Shamal's 49%, shots finished 18-17, expected goals 1.49 to 1.12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Rayyan had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Al Rayyan and 1.33 for Al Shamal.

What was the final score of Al Rayyan vs Al Shamal?

Al Rayyan 1-2 Al Shamal in the Qatar League on 22/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Rayyan vs Al Shamal?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Rayyan win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Al Rayyan 54%, draw 24%, Al Shamal 22%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Rayyan) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Rayyan) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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