Al Khor 2-5 Al Sadd — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Qatar League, 22 Nov 2024

📅22/11/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
5.91
Draw
24%
4.62
Away
55%
1.4
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.63
Over 2.5
52%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.63
No
53%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
24%
6.12
2-3 Goals
38%
2.1
4-5 Goals
26%
2.59
6+ Goals
12%
5.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 6.12 — our 24% vs market 12.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
21%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
26%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
14%
+7.5pp
24%
Draw
19%
+4.9pp
55%
Away Win
67%
-12.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
34%
+13.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
66%
-13.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
57%
-10.3pp
53%
BTTS No
43%
+10.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Khor EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Sadd EU Bookmakers 71%
+1% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -8%
1.21/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.45/0.86
-42% / +74% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +52% / -24%
37% Ball Possession 63%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
260 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 476 · 87%
13.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 34.3
8.0 Crosses 20.9
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Khor
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Al Sadd
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
34% Ball Possession 66%
10 Total Shots 21
5 Shots on Target 10
5 Corners 7
236 Passes 610
0 Yellow Cards 0
01.03.2022 Al Khor Al Khor 2-4 HT 0-1 Al Sadd Al Sadd KAT
25.12.2021 Al Sadd Al Sadd 3-0 HT 3-0 Al Khor Al Khor KAT
20.01.2021 Al Sadd Al Sadd 7-0 HT 4-0 Al Khor Al Khor KAT
17.10.2020 Al Khor Al Khor 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Sadd Al Sadd KAT
25.07.2020 Al Sadd Al Sadd 2-1 HT 2-1 Al Khor Al Khor KAT
21.01.2020 Al Khor Al Khor 1-2 HT 1-1 Al Sadd Al Sadd KAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Khor
2-5
AWAY Al Sadd
0.72 xG 4.58
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 10
6 Corners 6
224 Passes 338
71% Pass Accuracy 81%
16 Box Touches 34
12 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Al Khor vs Al Sadd
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Sadd cruised past Al Khor 5-2 away from home. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Al Sadd as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Al Khor had 43% of the ball to Al Sadd's 57%, shots finished 8-17, expected goals 0.72 to 4.58.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Sadd led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Al Khor and 3.00 for Al Sadd.

What was the final score of Al Khor vs Al Sadd?

Al Khor 2-5 Al Sadd in the Qatar League on 22/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Khor vs Al Sadd?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Sadd win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Al Khor 22%, draw 24%, Al Sadd 55%. The final score 2-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Sadd), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Sadd) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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