Al Gharafa vs Al Wakrah Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al Gharafa v Al Wakrah — Team-Based Signals
Al Gharafa vs Al Wakrah Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-1
Al Wakrah
KAT
0-4
HT 0-1
Al Gharafa
KAT
1-1
HT 1-0
Al Wakrah
KAT
5-3
HT 1-2
Al Gharafa
KATYK
Al Gharafa 3-1 Al Wakrah — Actual Match Statistics
Al Gharafa got the better of Al Wakrah 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Al Gharafa as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Al Gharafa had 45% of the ball to Al Wakrah's 55%, shots finished 7-24, expected goals 0.61 to 3.73 — on chances, Al Wakrah could feel hard done by.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Al Gharafa and 2.00 for Al Wakrah.
What was the final score of Al Gharafa vs Al Wakrah?
Al Gharafa 3-1 Al Wakrah in the Qatar League on 22/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Al Gharafa vs Al Wakrah?
Before kick-off our model rated a Al Gharafa win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Al Gharafa 41%, draw 26%, Al Wakrah 33%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Gharafa), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.