Tepatitlán de Morelos 0-1 CDS Tampico Madero — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 21 Nov 2025

📅21/11/2025 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.09
Draw
33%
3.18
Away
32%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
70%
1.68
Over 2.5
30%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
1.88
No
62%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
11%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
19%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
44%
-8.8pp
33%
Draw
28%
+5.0pp
32%
Away Win
28%
+3.8pp
70%
Under 2.5
56%
+13.9pp
30%
Over 2.5
44%
-13.9pp
38%
BTTS Yes
49%
-10.9pp
62%
BTTS No
51%
+10.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tepatitlán de Morelos EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY CDS Tampico Madero EU Bookmakers 32%
-2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.44/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.65/0.71
-5% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -45% / +90%
60% Ball Possession 40%
9 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
357 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.7 Yellow Cards 0.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tepatitlán de Morelos
0W-2D-1L
AWAY CDS Tampico Madero
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
10.08.2025 Tepatitlán de Morelos Tepatitlán de Morelos 0-0 HT 0-0 CDS Tampico Madero CDS Tampico Madero MEK2
30.03.2025 CDS Tampico Madero CDS Tampico Madero 2-1 HT 2-1 Tepatitlán de Morelos Tepatitlán de Morelos MEK2
12.10.2024 Tepatitlán de Morelos Tepatitlán de Morelos 1-1 HT 1-0 CDS Tampico Madero CDS Tampico Madero MEK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tepatitlán de Morelos
0-1
AWAY CDS Tampico Madero
64% Ball Possession 36%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Tepatitlán de Morelos vs CDS Tampico Madero
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CDS Tampico Madero squeezed past Tepatitlán de Morelos 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 33% / 32% — and on the day CDS Tampico Madero made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (70%), no to both teams scoring (62%) came in.

On the day, Tepatitlán de Morelos had 64% of the ball to CDS Tampico Madero's 36%, shots finished 13-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, CDS Tampico Madero led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Tepatitlán de Morelos and 1.00 for CDS Tampico Madero.

What was the final score of Tepatitlán de Morelos vs CDS Tampico Madero?

Tepatitlán de Morelos 0-1 CDS Tampico Madero in the Mexico - Primera A on 21/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tepatitlán de Morelos vs CDS Tampico Madero?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tepatitlán de Morelos win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Tepatitlán de Morelos 35%, draw 33%, CDS Tampico Madero 32%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Tepatitlán de Morelos) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tepatitlán de Morelos) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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