CDS Tampico Madero 2-1 Tepatitlán de Morelos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 30 Mar 2025

📅30/03/2025 · 🕒06:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.96
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
30%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.71
Over 2.5
40%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.85
No
55%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
47%
-0.6pp
23%
Draw
27%
-4.0pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+4.7pp
60%
Under 2.5
55%
+5.1pp
40%
Over 2.5
45%
-5.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
50%
-4.6pp
55%
BTTS No
50%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CDS Tampico Madero EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Tepatitlán de Morelos EU Bookmakers 29%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +7%
0.98/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.75
-35% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -18%
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 8
9 Corners 4
324 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 225 · 66%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CDS Tampico Madero
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Tepatitlán de Morelos
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
12.10.2024 Tepatitlán de Morelos Tepatitlán de Morelos 1-1 HT 1-0 CDS Tampico Madero CDS Tampico Madero MEK2
POST-MATCH CDS Tampico Madero vs Tepatitlán de Morelos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CDS Tampico Madero edged past Tepatitlán de Morelos 2-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had CDS Tampico Madero as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of CDS Tampico Madero vs Tepatitlán de Morelos?

CDS Tampico Madero 2-1 Tepatitlán de Morelos in the Mexico - Primera A on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CDS Tampico Madero vs Tepatitlán de Morelos?

Before kick-off our model rated a CDS Tampico Madero win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split CDS Tampico Madero 47%, draw 23%, Tepatitlán de Morelos 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CDS Tampico Madero) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CDS Tampico Madero) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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