Tlaxcala 3-2 Dorados De Sinaloa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 30 Mar 2025

📅30/03/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.96
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
28%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.91
Over 2.5
53%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.7
No
41%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
23%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
47%
-2.1pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.1pp
28%
Away Win
27%
+1.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-1.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+1.2pp
59%
BTTS Yes
55%
+4.7pp
41%
BTTS No
45%
-4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tlaxcala EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Dorados De Sinaloa EU Bookmakers 31%
+1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +1%
1.31/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.41
-13% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +3%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
350 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tlaxcala
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Dorados De Sinaloa
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
13.10.2024 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa 1-0 Tlaxcala MEK2
25.01.2024 Tlaxcala 0-1 HT 0-0 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa MEK2
04.10.2023 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa 3-1 HT 0-1 Tlaxcala MEK2
15.02.2023 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa 1-2 HT 1-0 Tlaxcala MEK2
13.07.2022 Tlaxcala 0-2 HT 0-1 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa MEK2
24.02.2022 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa 2-0 HT 1-0 Tlaxcala MEK2
POST-MATCH Tlaxcala vs Dorados De Sinaloa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tlaxcala squeezed past Dorados De Sinaloa 3-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Tlaxcala as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (59%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dorados De Sinaloa led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Tlaxcala and 1.67 for Dorados De Sinaloa.

What was the final score of Tlaxcala vs Dorados De Sinaloa?

Tlaxcala 3-2 Dorados De Sinaloa in the Mexico - Primera A on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tlaxcala vs Dorados De Sinaloa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tlaxcala win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Tlaxcala 45%, draw 27%, Dorados De Sinaloa 28%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tlaxcala), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Tlaxcala) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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