Atlante 4-1 Cancun FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 30 Mar 2025

📅30/03/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.49
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
18%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.9
Over 2.5
45%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.99
No
57%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
27%
X/2
5%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
62%
-4.4pp
24%
Draw
22%
+2.4pp
18%
Away Win
16%
+1.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
49%
+5.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
51%
-5.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
46%
-3.1pp
57%
BTTS No
54%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atlante EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Cancun FC EU Bookmakers 19%
+6% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +8%
1.84/0.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.56/1.42
-8% / +70% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / +26%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
370 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atlante
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Cancun FC
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
13.10.2024 Cancun FC Cancun FC 1-1 Atlante Atlante MEK2
19.05.2024 Atlante Atlante 0-0 HT 0-0 Cancun FC Cancun FC MEK2
16.05.2024 Cancun FC Cancun FC 1-1 HT 1-1 Atlante Atlante MEK2
29.04.2024 Atlante Atlante 2-1 HT 1-0 Cancun FC Cancun FC MEK2
26.04.2024 Cancun FC Cancun FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Atlante Atlante MEK2
26.01.2024 Cancun FC Cancun FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Atlante Atlante MEK2
POST-MATCH Atlante vs Cancun FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atlante cruised past Cancun FC 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Atlante as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atlante had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Atlante and 0.83 for Cancun FC.

What was the final score of Atlante vs Cancun FC?

Atlante 4-1 Cancun FC in the Mexico - Primera A on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atlante vs Cancun FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atlante win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Atlante 58%, draw 24%, Cancun FC 18%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atlante) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atlante) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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