Celaya vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Celaya v Alebrijes de Oaxaca — Team-Based Signals
Celaya vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 2-1
Celaya
MEK2
0-1
HT 0-0
Celaya
MEK2
2-0
HT 0-0
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
MEK2
1-0
HT 0-0
Celaya
MEK2
Celaya ran out comfortable winners over Alebrijes de Oaxaca 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Celaya as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Celaya had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Celaya and 0.67 for Alebrijes de Oaxaca.
What was the final score of Celaya vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca?
Celaya 3-0 Alebrijes de Oaxaca in the Mexico - Primera A on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Celaya vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca?
Before kick-off our model rated a Celaya win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Celaya 68%, draw 18%, Alebrijes de Oaxaca 14%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Celaya), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.