Al Kholood 1-2 Al Hazm — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 21 Nov 2025

📅21/11/2025 · 🕒17:50 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.46
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
29%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.74
Over 2.5
44%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.77
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
3.89
6+ Goals
8%
17.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.77 — our 32% vs market 29.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
20%
X/2
10%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
37%
+7.9pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.3pp
29%
Away Win
35%
-5.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
54%
+2.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
46%
-2.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.3pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Kholood EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Hazm EU Bookmakers 38%
+21% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.54/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/0.87
+16% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / +23%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
320 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 79%
24.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
11.9 Crosses 14.9
1.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Kholood
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Al Hazm
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
20.02.2023 Al Kholood Al Kholood 0-2 HT 0-2 Al Hazm Al Hazm SUUD1
17.09.2022 Al Hazm Al Hazm 1-1 HT 0-0 Al Kholood Al Kholood SUUD1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Kholood
1-2
AWAY Al Hazm
2.58 xG 2.04
60% Ball Possession 40%
13 Total Shots 18
8 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 5
359 Passes 218
85% Pass Accuracy 74%
15 Box Touches 23
21 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Al Kholood vs Al Hazm
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Hazm nicked a narrow win over Al Kholood 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Al Kholood at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Kholood had 60% of the ball to Al Hazm's 40%, shots finished 13-18, expected goals 2.58 to 2.04 — the balance of chances actually favoured Al Kholood.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Al Hazm led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Al Kholood and 1.50 for Al Hazm.

What was the final score of Al Kholood vs Al Hazm?

Al Kholood 1-2 Al Hazm in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 21/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Kholood vs Al Hazm?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Kholood win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Al Kholood 45%, draw 26%, Al Hazm 29%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Kholood), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Kholood) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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