Al Ittihad-Jeddah 2-1 Al Riyadh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 21 Nov 2025

📅21/11/2025 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
72%
1.28
Draw
16%
5.15
Away
12%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.63
Over 2.5
58%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.82
No
51%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
5.71
2-3 Goals
34%
2.03
4-5 Goals
27%
2.5
6+ Goals
15%
5.47
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
44%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
19%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
3%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
72%
Home Win
73%
-1.4pp
16%
Draw
16%
-0.2pp
12%
Away Win
10%
+1.7pp
42%
Under 2.5
34%
+7.8pp
58%
Over 2.5
66%
-7.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.9pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ittihad-Jeddah EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Riyadh EU Bookmakers 14%
-1% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +3%
2.06/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/2.33
+3% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +0%
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
453 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 80%
30.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.2
16.9 Crosses 15.7
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ittihad-Jeddah
4W-0D-0L
AWAY Al Riyadh
2.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.25
2.21 xG 0.74
62% Ball Possession 38%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
558 Passes 300
90% Pass Accuracy 81%
27 Box Touches 14
14 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.03.2025 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah 2-1 HT 0-0 Al Riyadh Al Riyadh SUUD
24.10.2024 Al Riyadh Al Riyadh 0-1 HT 0-1 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah SUUD
18.02.2024 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah 2-0 HT 1-0 Al Riyadh Al Riyadh SUUD
24.08.2023 Al Riyadh Al Riyadh 0-4 HT 0-3 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Ittihad-Jeddah
2-1
AWAY Al Riyadh
1.60 xG 0.80
65% Ball Possession 35%
15 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
574 Passes 279
91% Pass Accuracy 86%
27 Box Touches 8
13 Crosses 21
POST-MATCH Al Ittihad-Jeddah vs Al Riyadh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ittihad-Jeddah squeezed past Al Riyadh 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al Ittihad-Jeddah as the likeliest winner at 72%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Al Ittihad-Jeddah had 65% of the ball to Al Riyadh's 35%, shots finished 15-7, expected goals 1.60 to 0.80.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Al Ittihad-Jeddah had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.25 goals for Al Ittihad-Jeddah and 0.25 for Al Riyadh.

What was the final score of Al Ittihad-Jeddah vs Al Riyadh?

Al Ittihad-Jeddah 2-1 Al Riyadh in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 21/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ittihad-Jeddah vs Al Riyadh?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Ittihad-Jeddah win the most likely single outcome at about 72%, with the full match-result split Al Ittihad-Jeddah 72%, draw 16%, Al Riyadh 12%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ittihad-Jeddah), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Ittihad-Jeddah) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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