Al Ahli Jeddah 2-1 Al-Qadsiah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 21 Nov 2025

📅21/11/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.02
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
34%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.75
Over 2.5
54%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.82
No
42%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.86
2-3 Goals
38%
1.74
4-5 Goals
24%
3.77
6+ Goals
13%
16.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
46%
-2.9pp
23%
Draw
27%
-4.4pp
34%
Away Win
27%
+7.3pp
46%
Under 2.5
53%
-7.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
47%
+7.6pp
58%
BTTS Yes
51%
+6.9pp
42%
BTTS No
49%
-6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ahli Jeddah EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Al-Qadsiah EU Bookmakers 30%
+4% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.59/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.70/2.05
+30% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -45%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
334 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 79%
22.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.2
16.0 Crosses 19.8
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ahli Jeddah
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Al-Qadsiah
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
2.26 xG 1.03
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
360 Passes 308
83% Pass Accuracy 80%
28 Box Touches 14
21 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.08.2025 Al-Qadsiah Al-Qadsiah 1-5 HT 1-4 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah SUUSK
25.02.2025 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah 4-1 HT 3-0 Al-Qadsiah Al-Qadsiah SUUD
27.09.2024 Al-Qadsiah Al-Qadsiah 1-0 HT 1-0 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah SUUD
14.05.2021 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah 1-0 HT 0-0 Al-Qadsiah Al-Qadsiah SUUD
08.01.2021 Al-Qadsiah Al-Qadsiah 3-1 HT 2-0 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah SUUD
08.03.2019 Al-Qadsiah Al-Qadsiah 1-2 HT 1-1 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Ahli Jeddah
2-1
AWAY Al-Qadsiah
0.57 xG 1.08
28% Ball Possession 72%
7 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 3
0 Corners 10
153 Passes 460
70% Pass Accuracy 88%
5 Box Touches 42
2 Crosses 41
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Ahli Jeddah vs Al-Qadsiah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ahli Jeddah nicked a narrow win over Al-Qadsiah 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Al Ahli Jeddah as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, Al Ahli Jeddah had 28% of the ball to Al-Qadsiah's 72%, shots finished 7-14, expected goals 0.57 to 1.08 — the balance of chances actually favoured Al-Qadsiah.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Ahli Jeddah had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Al Ahli Jeddah and 1.17 for Al-Qadsiah.

What was the final score of Al Ahli Jeddah vs Al-Qadsiah?

Al Ahli Jeddah 2-1 Al-Qadsiah in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 21/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ahli Jeddah vs Al-Qadsiah?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Ahli Jeddah win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Al Ahli Jeddah 43%, draw 23%, Al-Qadsiah 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ahli Jeddah), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Ahli Jeddah) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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