Annan Athletic 0-4 Arbroath — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 1st Division, 21 Dec 2024

📅21/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.94
Draw
33%
3.45
Away
39%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.9
Over 2.5
43%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.18
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
23%
3.35
6+ Goals
8%
12.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.18 — our 27% vs market 24.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
22%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
31%
-2.1pp
33%
Draw
26%
+7.1pp
39%
Away Win
44%
-5.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
49%
+8.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
51%
-8.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-1.8pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Annan Athletic EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Arbroath EU Bookmakers 48%
+3% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -8%
1.17/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.68/1.58
-14% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -29%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
282 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
3.0 Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Annan Athletic
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Arbroath
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
46% Ball Possession 54%
6 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 11
1 Crosses 8
0 Yellow Cards 4
21.09.2024 Arbroath Arbroath 2-0 HT 0-0 Annan Athletic Annan Athletic İK1
20.07.2024 Arbroath Arbroath 0-3 HT 0-1 Annan Athletic Annan Athletic İKLK
08.09.2018 Arbroath Arbroath 3-0 HT 1-0 Annan Athletic Annan Athletic İKCK
01.04.2017 Annan Athletic Annan Athletic 2-5 HT 2-2 Arbroath Arbroath İK2
21.01.2017 Arbroath Arbroath 1-2 HT 1-1 Annan Athletic Annan Athletic İK2
05.11.2016 Annan Athletic Annan Athletic 1-2 HT 1-0 Arbroath Arbroath İK2
POST-MATCH Annan Athletic vs Arbroath
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arbroath cruised past Annan Athletic 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.

We called this one close before kick-off — 29% / 33% / 39% — and on the day Arbroath made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Arbroath led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Annan Athletic and 2.17 for Arbroath.

What was the final score of Annan Athletic vs Arbroath?

Annan Athletic 0-4 Arbroath in the Scotland - 1st Division on 21/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Annan Athletic vs Arbroath?

Before kick-off our model rated an Arbroath win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Annan Athletic 29%, draw 33%, Arbroath 39%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arbroath) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Arbroath) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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