Montrose 1-2 Dumbarton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 1st Division, 21 Dec 2024

📅21/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.02
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
35%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.03
Over 2.5
48%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.63
No
55%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.59
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals
21%
3.06
6+ Goals
12%
10.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.59 — our 28% vs market 21.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
46%
-7.6pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.4pp
35%
Away Win
29%
+6.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
45%
+6.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
55%
-6.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
57%
-11.8pp
55%
BTTS No
43%
+11.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Montrose EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Dumbarton EU Bookmakers 32%
+11% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -17%
1.79/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.93
+17% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / -22%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
214 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 181 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 3.0
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Montrose
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Dumbarton
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 5
0 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 0
21.09.2024 Dumbarton Dumbarton 0-1 HT 0-1 Montrose Montrose İK1
26.03.2022 Dumbarton Dumbarton 0-0 HT 0-0 Montrose Montrose İK1
05.02.2022 Montrose Montrose 1-1 HT 1-1 Dumbarton Dumbarton İK1
11.12.2021 Dumbarton Dumbarton 1-3 HT 1-2 Montrose Montrose İK1
28.08.2021 Montrose Montrose 1-2 HT 0-2 Dumbarton Dumbarton İK1
06.04.2021 Dumbarton Dumbarton 0-0 HT 0-0 Montrose Montrose İK1
POST-MATCH Montrose vs Dumbarton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dumbarton edged past Montrose 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 26% / 35% — and on the day Dumbarton made the difference. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Montrose had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Montrose and 0.67 for Dumbarton.

What was the final score of Montrose vs Dumbarton?

Montrose 1-2 Dumbarton in the Scotland - 1st Division on 21/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Montrose vs Dumbarton?

Before kick-off our model rated a Montrose win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Montrose 38%, draw 26%, Dumbarton 35%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Montrose) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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