Dumbarton 0-1 Montrose — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 1st Division, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
1.9
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
35%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.97
Over 2.5
38%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.68
No
54%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
3.6
2-3 Goals
43%
1.81
4-5 Goals
18%
3.34
6+ Goals
8%
12.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.6 — our 31% vs market 22.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
49%
-11.5pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.9pp
35%
Away Win
26%
+8.6pp
62%
Under 2.5
47%
+14.7pp
38%
Over 2.5
53%
-14.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
56%
-9.4pp
54%
BTTS No
44%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dumbarton EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Montrose EU Bookmakers 30%
-14% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +19%
1.63/1.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.34
-1% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +23%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
337 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dumbarton
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Montrose
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
8 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
26.03.2022 Dumbarton Dumbarton 0-0 HT 0-0 Montrose Montrose İK1
05.02.2022 Montrose Montrose 1-1 HT 1-1 Dumbarton Dumbarton İK1
11.12.2021 Dumbarton Dumbarton 1-3 HT 1-2 Montrose Montrose İK1
28.08.2021 Montrose Montrose 1-2 HT 0-2 Dumbarton Dumbarton İK1
06.04.2021 Dumbarton Dumbarton 0-0 HT 0-0 Montrose Montrose İK1
19.12.2020 Montrose Montrose 4-0 HT 3-0 Dumbarton Dumbarton İK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dumbarton
0-1
AWAY Montrose
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 1
2 Shots on Target 1
15 Corners 0
15 Crosses 0
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Dumbarton vs Montrose
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Montrose edged past Dumbarton 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 28% / 35% — and on the day Montrose made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%) came in.

On the day, Dumbarton had 54% of the ball to Montrose's 46%, shots finished 11-1.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Montrose led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Dumbarton and 1.50 for Montrose.

What was the final score of Dumbarton vs Montrose?

Dumbarton 0-1 Montrose in the Scotland - 1st Division on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dumbarton vs Montrose?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dumbarton win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Dumbarton 37%, draw 28%, Montrose 35%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Dumbarton) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dumbarton) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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