Arbroath 2-0 Annan Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 1st Division, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.12
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
33%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.1
Over 2.5
47%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.56
No
51%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
4.07
2-3 Goals
35%
1.85
4-5 Goals
21%
3.08
6+ Goals
13%
9.86
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.07 — our 31% vs market 19.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
43%
-1.9pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.1pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+1.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
44%
+9.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
56%
-9.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
60%
-11.2pp
51%
BTTS No
40%
+11.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arbroath EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Annan Athletic EU Bookmakers 34%
-10% / -30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
0.56/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.93
-66% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -19%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
307 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arbroath
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Annan Athletic
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
55% Ball Possession 45%
21 Total Shots 9
10 Shots on Target 4
11 Corners 3
20.07.2024 Arbroath Arbroath 0-3 HT 0-1 Annan Athletic Annan Athletic İKLK
08.09.2018 Arbroath Arbroath 3-0 HT 1-0 Annan Athletic Annan Athletic İKCK
01.04.2017 Annan Athletic Annan Athletic 2-5 HT 2-2 Arbroath Arbroath İK2
21.01.2017 Arbroath Arbroath 1-2 HT 1-1 Annan Athletic Annan Athletic İK2
05.11.2016 Annan Athletic Annan Athletic 1-2 HT 1-0 Arbroath Arbroath İK2
17.09.2016 Arbroath Arbroath 1-1 HT 0-0 Annan Athletic Annan Athletic İK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arbroath
2-0
AWAY Annan Athletic
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 3
3 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 1
8 Crosses 1
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Arbroath vs Annan Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arbroath beat Annan Athletic 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Arbroath as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Arbroath had 51% of the ball to Annan Athletic's 49%, shots finished 8-3.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Arbroath had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Arbroath and 1.50 for Annan Athletic.

What was the final score of Arbroath vs Annan Athletic?

Arbroath 2-0 Annan Athletic in the Scotland - 1st Division on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arbroath vs Annan Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arbroath win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Arbroath 42%, draw 26%, Annan Athletic 33%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arbroath), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Arbroath) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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