Inverness CT 1-1 Cove Rangers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 1st Division, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.89
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
25%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.97
Over 2.5
45%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.68
No
51%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.62
2-3 Goals
43%
1.81
4-5 Goals
20%
3.33
6+ Goals
10%
12.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.62 — our 27% vs market 22.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
49%
-3.4pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.3pp
26%
Away Win
25%
+0.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
47%
+7.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
53%
-7.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.2pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Inverness CT EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Cove Rangers EU Bookmakers 29%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.00/0.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.55
-40% / +144% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +5%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
318 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Inverness CT
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Cove Rangers
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
15.04.2023 Cove Rangers Cove Rangers 1-2 HT 0-0 Inverness CT Inverness CT İKCL
02.01.2023 Inverness CT Inverness CT 6-1 HT 3-1 Cove Rangers Cove Rangers İKCL
15.10.2022 Cove Rangers Cove Rangers 0-1 HT 0-1 Inverness CT Inverness CT İKCL
13.08.2022 Inverness CT Inverness CT 4-1 HT 2-0 Cove Rangers Cove Rangers İKCL
23.07.2022 Inverness CT Inverness CT 1-1 HT 1-1 Cove Rangers Cove Rangers İKLK
20.07.2021 Cove Rangers Cove Rangers 3-1 HT 2-0 Inverness CT Inverness CT İKLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Inverness CT
1-1
AWAY Cove Rangers
68% Ball Possession 32%
6 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 3
95% Pass Accuracy
2 Crosses 3
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Inverness CT vs Cove Rangers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Inverness CT and Cove Rangers couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Inverness CT at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Inverness CT had 68% of the ball to Cove Rangers's 32%, shots finished 6-5.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Inverness CT had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Inverness CT and 1.17 for Cove Rangers.

What was the final score of Inverness CT vs Cove Rangers?

Inverness CT 1-1 Cove Rangers in the Scotland - 1st Division on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Inverness CT vs Cove Rangers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Inverness CT win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Inverness CT 46%, draw 29%, Cove Rangers 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Inverness CT), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Inverness CT) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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