Katar 1-1 Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Körfez Cup, 21 Dec 2024

📅21/12/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.57
Draw
22%
3.11
Away
43%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.64
Over 2.5
48%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.9
No
48%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.49
2-3 Goals
44%
1.71
4-5 Goals
19%
4.23
6+ Goals
11%
22.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
24%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
35%
+0.0pp
22%
Draw
29%
-6.7pp
43%
Away Win
36%
+6.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
57%
-5.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
43%
+5.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.1pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Katar EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri EU Bookmakers 40%
-23% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
0.68/1.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/1.05
+63% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -43% / -49%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
336 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 76%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
13.0 Crosses 14.0
0.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Katar
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.50 xG 1.35
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
360 Passes 326
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 14
14 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.11.2024 Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri 5-0 HT 3-0 Katar Katar DKE
05.09.2024 Katar Katar 1-3 HT 1-0 Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri DKE
13.01.2023 Katar Katar 1-1 HT 0-0 Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri AKK
10.12.2021 Katar Katar 5-0 HT 5-0 Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri ARAPK
02.12.2019 Katar Katar 4-2 HT 2-1 Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri AKK
29.01.2019 Katar Katar 4-0 HT 2-0 Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri ASK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Katar
1-1
AWAY Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri
1.17 xG 0.57
39% Ball Possession 61%
2 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 9
215 Passes 374
71% Pass Accuracy 81%
6 Box Touches 14
3 Crosses 23
6 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Katar vs Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Katar and Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Katar had 39% of the ball to Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri's 61%, shots finished 2-12, expected goals 1.17 to 0.57.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Katar had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Katar and 1.83 for Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri.

What was the final score of Katar vs Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri?

Katar 1-1 Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri in the Körfez Cup on 21/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Katar vs Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri?

Before kick-off our model rated an Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Katar 35%, draw 22%, Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri 43%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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