Katar 1-3 Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 5 Sep 2024

Katar
1-3 HT 1-0
Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri
📅05/09/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
World Cup Qualifiers – 2026

Katar vs Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.61
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
25%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.74
Over 2.5
48%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.03
No
53%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.9
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
4.02
6+ Goals
10%
18.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
20%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
58%
-8.5pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.0pp
25%
Away Win
17%
+7.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
54%
-2.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
46%
+2.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
45%
+2.2pp
53%
BTTS No
55%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Katar v Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Katar EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri EU Bookmakers 21%
+23% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -30% / -30%
1.93/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/2.00
+15% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -29%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
314 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 72%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
13.0 Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards –

Katar vs Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Katar
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.81 xG 1.22
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
325 Passes 404
81% Pass Accuracy 84%
21 Box Touches 14
10 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
13.01.2023 Katar Katar 1-1 HT 0-0 Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri AKK
10.12.2021 Katar Katar 5-0 HT 5-0 Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri ARAPK
02.12.2019 Katar Katar 4-2 HT 2-1 Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri AKK
29.01.2019 Katar Katar 4-0 HT 2-0 Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri ASK
11.01.2015 Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri 4-1 HT 1-1 Katar Katar ASK
16.07.2007 Katar Katar 1-2 HT 1-0 Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri ASK

Katar 1-3 Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Katar
1-3
AWAY Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri
1.00 xG 0.64
69% Ball Possession 31%
8 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 4
456 Passes 152
85% Pass Accuracy 65%
20 Box Touches 14
26 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Katar vs Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri got the better of Katar 3-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Katar at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Katar had 69% of the ball to Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri's 31%, shots finished 8-9, expected goals 1.00 to 0.64.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Katar had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Katar and 1.50 for Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri.

What was the final score of Katar vs Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri?

Katar 1-3 Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri in the World Cup Qualifiers on 05/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Katar vs Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri?

Before kick-off our model rated a Katar win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Katar 49%, draw 26%, Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri 25%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Katar) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
DKE More World Cup Qualifiers
5 Sep 2024
13:10 Avustralya vs Bahreyn Analysis →
13:35 Japonya vs Çin Analysis →
14:00 Güney Kore vs Filistin Analysis →
17:00 Özbekistan vs Kuzey Kore Analysis →
19:00 İran vs Kırgızistan Analysis →
19:00 Irak vs Umman Analysis →