Irak vs Umman Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Irak v Umman — Team-Based Signals
Irak vs Umman Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
3-2
HT 1-0
Umman
AKK
0-0
HT 0-0
Umman
AKK
1-1
HT 1-0
Umman
AKK
1-0
HT 1-0
Irak
DKE
0-0
HT 0-0
Irak
ASK
Irak 1-0 Umman — Actual Match Statistics
Irak edged past Umman 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Irak as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Irak had 42% of the ball to Umman's 58%, shots finished 7-11, expected goals 0.67 to 0.43.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Irak and 0.80 for Umman.
What was the final score of Irak vs Umman?
Irak 1-0 Umman in the World Cup Qualifiers on 05/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Irak vs Umman?
Before kick-off our model rated a Irak win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Irak 46%, draw 30%, Umman 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Irak), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.