Irak vs Umman Prediction — Model Probabilities
Irak v Umman — Team-Based Signals
Irak vs Umman Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
Irak 1-0 Umman — Actual Match Statistics
Irak found just enough to beat Umman 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Irak as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. Nothing to argue with on goals either — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came home.
Under the surface, Irak had 42% of the ball to Umman's 58%, shots finished 7-11, expected goals 0.67 to 0.43.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Irak and 0.80 for Umman.
Irak vs Umman Result & Final Score
Irak 1 - 0 Umman in the World Cup Qualifiers on 05/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Irak vs Umman Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Irak win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Irak 55%, draw 28%, Umman 17%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Irak), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.