Avustralya vs Bahreyn Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Avustralya v Bahreyn — Team-Based Signals
Avustralya vs Bahreyn Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Bahreyn
ASK
2-0
HT 0-0
Bahreyn
DKE
0-1
HT 0-0
Avustralya
DKE
Avustralya 0-1 Bahreyn — Actual Match Statistics
Bahreyn squeezed past Avustralya 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Avustralya at 59% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.
On the day, Avustralya had 71% of the ball to Bahreyn's 29%, shots finished 11-3, expected goals 0.89 to 0.08 — the balance of chances actually favoured Avustralya.
For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Avustralya had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Avustralya and 0.00 for Bahreyn.
What was the final score of Avustralya vs Bahreyn?
Avustralya 0-1 Bahreyn in the World Cup Qualifiers on 05/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Avustralya vs Bahreyn?
Before kick-off our model rated a Avustralya win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Avustralya 59%, draw 23%, Bahreyn 19%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Avustralya) went the other way.