Bahreyn 0-2 Avustralya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 6 Jan 2024

Bahreyn
0-2 HT 0-1
Avustralya
📅06/01/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Friendlies – 2024

Bahreyn vs Avustralya Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
5.34
Draw
28%
3.72
Away
49%
1.56
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.75
Over 2.5
43%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.13
No
58%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.72
2-3 Goals
41%
1.71
4-5 Goals
19%
3.97
6+ Goals
8%
18.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.72 — our 32% vs market 29.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
7%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
27%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
16%
+7.3pp
28%
Draw
24%
+4.0pp
49%
Away Win
60%
-11.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
53%
+4.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
47%
-4.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
43%
-1.1pp
58%
BTTS No
57%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bahreyn v Avustralya — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bahreyn EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Avustralya EU Bookmakers 64%
+24% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +25% / +25%
1.31/2.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.81/0.28
+83% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +91% / +150%
42% Ball Possession 58%
7 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
228 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 423 · 81%
10.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 43.0
7.0 Crosses 27.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0

Bahreyn vs Avustralya Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bahreyn
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Avustralya
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
The Meetings
18.01.2011 Avustralya Avustralya 1-0 HT 1-0 Bahreyn Bahreyn ASK
10.06.2009 Avustralya Avustralya 2-0 HT 0-0 Bahreyn Bahreyn DKE
19.11.2008 Bahreyn Bahreyn 0-1 HT 0-0 Avustralya Avustralya DKE

Bahreyn 0-2 Avustralya — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bahreyn
0-2
AWAY Avustralya
0.26 xG 1.70
41% Ball Possession 59%
6 Total Shots 7
1 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 3
345 Passes 537
80% Pass Accuracy 89%
6 Box Touches 21
4 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Bahreyn vs Avustralya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Avustralya beat Bahreyn 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Avustralya as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Bahreyn had 41% of the ball to Avustralya's 59%, shots finished 6-7, expected goals 0.26 to 1.70.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Avustralya led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Bahreyn and 1.33 for Avustralya.

What was the final score of Bahreyn vs Avustralya?

Bahreyn 0-2 Avustralya in the Friendlies on 06/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bahreyn vs Avustralya?

Before kick-off our model rated an Avustralya win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Bahreyn 23%, draw 28%, Avustralya 49%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Avustralya), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Avustralya) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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