Japonya 7-0 Çin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 5 Sep 2024

Japonya
7-0 HT 2-0
Çin
📅05/09/2024 · 🕒13:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.16
Draw
25%
7.13
Away
13%
12.05
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.59
Over 2.5
45%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.53
No
58%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
5.78
2-3 Goals
40%
2.05
4-5 Goals
19%
2.64
6+ Goals
12%
6.19
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.78 — our 29% vs market 13.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
23%
X/2
4%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
5%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
82%
-19.8pp
25%
Draw
12%
+13.1pp
13%
Away Win
6%
+6.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
35%
+20.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
65%
-20.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
36%
+6.2pp
58%
BTTS No
64%
-6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Japonya EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Çin EU Bookmakers 8%
-17% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
2.31/0.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.32/1.47
-5% / +86% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +47%
62% Ball Possession 38%
17 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
476 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 239 · 73%
34.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 4.7
28.3 Crosses 6.9
0.7 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Japonya
4W-1D-0L
AWAY Çin
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 0.40
1.71 xG 0.30
63% Ball Possession 37%
18 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 2
478 Passes 242
82% Pass Accuracy 68%
23 Box Touches 11
21 Crosses 10
0 Yellow Cards 2
24.07.2022 Japonya Japonya 0-0 HT 0-0 Çin Çin EAFF
27.01.2022 Japonya Japonya 2-0 HT 1-0 Çin Çin DKE
07.09.2021 Çin Çin 0-1 HT 0-1 Japonya Japonya DKE
10.12.2019 Çin Çin 1-2 HT 0-1 Japonya Japonya E-1FŞ
12.12.2017 Japonya Japonya 2-1 HT 0-0 Çin Çin E-1FŞ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Japonya
7-0
AWAY Çin
1.76 xG 0.02
77% Ball Possession 23%
17 Total Shots 1
9 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 2
640 Passes 132
90% Pass Accuracy 61%
37 Box Touches 1
30 Crosses 5
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Japonya vs Çin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Japonya cruised past Çin 7-0. Half-time: 2-0. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Japonya as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 7-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (58%) landed while under 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

On the day, Japonya had 77% of the ball to Çin's 23%, shots finished 17-1, expected goals 1.76 to 0.02.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Japonya had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Japonya and 0.40 for Çin.

What was the final score of Japonya vs Çin?

Japonya 7-0 Çin in the World Cup Qualifiers on 05/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Japonya vs Çin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Japonya win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Japonya 62%, draw 25%, Çin 13%. The final score 7-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Japonya), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Japonya) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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