İran 1-0 Kırgızistan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 5 Sep 2024

İran
1-0 HT 1-0
Kırgızistan
📅05/09/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
World Cup Qualifiers – 2026

İran vs Kırgızistan Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.16
Draw
19%
7.78
Away
21%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
3.14
Over 2.5
56%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.75
No
57%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
7.43
2-3 Goals
36%
2.24
4-5 Goals
29%
2.43
6+ Goals
11%
4.57
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
82%
-22.0pp
19%
Draw
10%
+8.2pp
21%
Away Win
7%
+13.8pp
44%
Under 2.5
28%
+16.0pp
56%
Over 2.5
72%
-16.0pp
43%
BTTS Yes
32%
+11.2pp
57%
BTTS No
68%
-11.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

İran v Kırgızistan — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İran EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Kırgızistan EU Bookmakers 9%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.47/0.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/0.98
+22% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / +7%
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
464 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 74%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
19.8 Crosses 10.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0

İran 1-0 Kırgızistan — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İran
1-0
AWAY Kırgızistan
1.25 xG 0.38
67% Ball Possession 33%
20 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 3
538 Passes 208
87% Pass Accuracy 69%
27 Box Touches 2
19 Crosses 8
POST-MATCH İran vs Kırgızistan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İran nicked a narrow win over Kırgızistan 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had İran as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (57%) landed while over 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

On the day, İran had 67% of the ball to Kırgızistan's 33%, shots finished 20-7, expected goals 1.25 to 0.38.

What was the final score of İran vs Kırgızistan?

İran 1-0 Kırgızistan in the World Cup Qualifiers on 05/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İran vs Kırgızistan?

Before kick-off our model rated a İran win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split İran 60%, draw 19%, Kırgızistan 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (İran), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (İran) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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