Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri 5-0 Katar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 19 Nov 2024

📅19/11/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.46
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
33%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.82
Over 2.5
42%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.73
No
56%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.23
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
18%
3.72
6+ Goals
10%
15.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.23 — our 31% vs market 25.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
37%
+3.3pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.8pp
33%
Away Win
35%
-1.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
51%
+6.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
49%
-6.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
54%
-9.7pp
56%
BTTS No
46%
+9.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Katar EU Bookmakers 38%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+20% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
298 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 79%
18.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
8.4 Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Katar
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
1.10 xG 1.65
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
354 Passes 351
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
14 Box Touches 21
16 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.09.2024 Katar Katar 1-3 HT 1-0 Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri DKE
13.01.2023 Katar Katar 1-1 HT 0-0 Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri AKK
10.12.2021 Katar Katar 5-0 HT 5-0 Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri ARAPK
02.12.2019 Katar Katar 4-2 HT 2-1 Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri AKK
29.01.2019 Katar Katar 4-0 HT 2-0 Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri ASK
11.01.2015 Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri 4-1 HT 1-1 Katar Katar ASK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri
5-0
AWAY Katar
2.58 xG 0.76
32% Ball Possession 68%
9 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 2
186 Passes 406
79% Pass Accuracy 83%
14 Box Touches 15
3 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri vs Katar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri ran out comfortable winners over Katar 5-0. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (40% / 26% / 33%) promised a tight game; Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, no to both teams scoring (56%) landed while under 2.5 goals (58%) missed.

On the day, Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri had 32% of the ball to Katar's 68%, shots finished 9-9, expected goals 2.58 to 0.76.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Katar led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri and 2.67 for Katar.

What was the final score of Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri vs Katar?

Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri 5-0 Katar in the World Cup Qualifiers on 19/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri vs Katar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri 40%, draw 26%, Katar 33%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
DKE More World Cup Qualifiers
19 Nov 2024
15:00 Kuzey Kore vs Özbekistan Analysis →
15:00 Endonezya vs Suudi Arabistan Analysis →
15:00 Çin vs Japonya Analysis →
17:00 Kırgızistan vs İran Analysis →
17:00 Filistin vs Güney Kore Analysis →
19:00 Umman vs Irak Analysis →