Umman 0-1 Irak — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 19 Nov 2024

Umman
0-1 HT 0-1
Irak
📅19/11/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.53
Draw
36%
2.77
Away
33%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.36
Over 2.5
34%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.33
No
54%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
1.93
2-3 Goals
38%
1.9
4-5 Goals
16%
7.32
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
16%
X/X
19%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
36%
-4.8pp
36%
Draw
33%
+2.9pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+1.9pp
66%
Under 2.5
70%
-4.0pp
34%
Over 2.5
30%
+4.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
39%
+6.9pp
54%
BTTS No
61%
-6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Umman EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Irak EU Bookmakers 34%
+48% / +48% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.40
-16% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +48% / -16%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
279 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.9
Crosses 13.9
Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Umman
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Irak
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.97 xG 0.77
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
391 Passes 276
78% Pass Accuracy 74%
14 Box Touches 13
16 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
05.09.2024 Irak Irak 1-0 HT 1-0 Umman Umman DKE
19.01.2023 Irak Irak 3-2 HT 1-0 Umman Umman AKK
06.01.2023 Irak Irak 0-0 HT 0-0 Umman Umman AKK
17.11.2014 Irak Irak 1-1 HT 1-0 Umman Umman AKK
04.06.2013 Umman Umman 1-0 HT 1-0 Irak Irak DKE
16.07.2007 Umman Umman 0-0 HT 0-0 Irak Irak ASK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Umman
0-1
AWAY Irak
0.49 xG 0.71
58% Ball Possession 42%
9 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
392 Passes 278
81% Pass Accuracy 77%
10 Box Touches 14
19 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Umman vs Irak
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Irak nicked a narrow win over Umman 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 36% / 33% — and on the day Irak made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (66%) came in.

On the day, Umman had 58% of the ball to Irak's 42%, shots finished 9-5, expected goals 0.49 to 0.71.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Irak led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Umman and 0.83 for Irak.

What was the final score of Umman vs Irak?

Umman 0-1 Irak in the World Cup Qualifiers on 19/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Umman vs Irak?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Umman 31%, draw 36%, Irak 33%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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