Kırgızistan 2-3 İran — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 19 Nov 2024

📅19/11/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
15%
9.57
Draw
19%
5.15
Away
66%
1.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.18
Over 2.5
54%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.19
No
61%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.23
2-3 Goals
41%
1.88
4-5 Goals
21%
3.06
6+ Goals
13%
9.54
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
4%
X/2
27%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
35%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
15%
Home Win
8%
+7.2pp
19%
Draw
16%
+2.5pp
66%
Away Win
76%
-9.7pp
46%
Under 2.5
42%
+3.9pp
54%
Over 2.5
58%
-3.9pp
39%
BTTS Yes
42%
-2.5pp
61%
BTTS No
58%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kırgızistan EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY İran EU Bookmakers 80%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
0.92/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.86/0.89
+150% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -47%
39% Ball Possession 61%
7 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 8
280 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 433 · 83%
14.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.2
10.0 Crosses 13.6
0.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kırgızistan
0W-0D-1L
AWAY İran
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.38 xG 1.25
33% Ball Possession 67%
7 Total Shots 20
6 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
208 Passes 538
69% Pass Accuracy 87%
2 Box Touches 27
8 Crosses 19
05.09.2024 İran İran 1-0 HT 1-0 Kırgızistan Kırgızistan DKE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kırgızistan
2-3
AWAY İran
1.15 xG 1.79
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 3
276 Passes 490
77% Pass Accuracy 86%
15 Box Touches 12
11 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kırgızistan vs İran
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İran nicked a narrow win over Kırgızistan 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had İran as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Kırgızistan had 39% of the ball to İran's 61%, shots finished 8-14, expected goals 1.15 to 1.79.

What was the final score of Kırgızistan vs İran?

Kırgızistan 2-3 İran in the World Cup Qualifiers on 19/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kırgızistan vs İran?

Before kick-off our model rated an İran win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Kırgızistan 15%, draw 19%, İran 66%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (İran), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (İran) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
DKE More World Cup Qualifiers
19 Nov 2024
15:00 Kuzey Kore vs Özbekistan Analysis →
15:00 Endonezya vs Suudi Arabistan Analysis →
15:00 Çin vs Japonya Analysis →
17:00 Filistin vs Güney Kore Analysis →
19:00 Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri vs Katar Analysis →
19:00 Umman vs Irak Analysis →