Çin 1-3 Japonya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 19 Nov 2024

Çin
1-3 HT 0-2
Japonya
📅19/11/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
12.23
Draw
33%
5.71
Away
33%
1.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.38
Over 2.5
50%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.4
No
50%
1.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
6%
+27.6pp
33%
Draw
15%
+18.7pp
33%
Away Win
80%
-46.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
38%
+11.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
62%
-11.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
38%
+12.5pp
50%
BTTS No
62%
-12.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Çin EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Japonya EU Bookmakers 84%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
0.93/1.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.49/0.36
+25% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +48% / +150%
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
13.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31.2
10.1 Crosses 19.4
3.3 Yellow Cards 0.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Çin
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Japonya
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.24 xG 1.72
35% Ball Possession 65%
4 Total Shots 18
1 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
224 Passes 505
66% Pass Accuracy 83%
9 Box Touches 26
9 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 0
05.09.2024 Japonya Japonya 7-0 HT 2-0 Çin Çin DKE
24.07.2022 Japonya Japonya 0-0 HT 0-0 Çin Çin EAFF
27.01.2022 Japonya Japonya 2-0 HT 1-0 Çin Çin DKE
07.09.2021 Çin Çin 0-1 HT 0-1 Japonya Japonya DKE
10.12.2019 Çin Çin 1-2 HT 0-1 Japonya Japonya E-1FŞ
12.12.2017 Japonya Japonya 2-1 HT 0-0 Çin Çin E-1FŞ
POST-MATCH Çin vs Japonya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Japonya saw off Çin 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 33% / 33% — and on the day Japonya made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Japonya led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Çin and 2.33 for Japonya.

What was the final score of Çin vs Japonya?

Çin 1-3 Japonya in the World Cup Qualifiers on 19/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Çin vs Japonya?

Before kick-off our model rated a Çin win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Çin 33%, draw 33%, Japonya 33%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
DKE More World Cup Qualifiers
19 Nov 2024
15:00 Kuzey Kore vs Özbekistan Analysis →
15:00 Endonezya vs Suudi Arabistan Analysis →
17:00 Kırgızistan vs İran Analysis →
17:00 Filistin vs Güney Kore Analysis →
19:00 Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri vs Katar Analysis →
19:00 Umman vs Irak Analysis →